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Interesting piece by Peter Kellner on how it is getting harder to do accurate opinion polling. But even so the American election polls did better than the 'surprise' result suggested. National vote shares: Polling average: Trump 49.4 per cent, Harris 50.6 per cent Result: Trump 50.9 per cent, Harris 49.1 per cent  Error per candidate: 1.5 points Vote shares in the seven swing states: Polling average: Trump 50.2 per cent, Harris 49.8 per cent Result: Trump 51.5 per cent, Harris 48.5 per cent Error per candidate: 1.3 points  https://lnkd.in/eJnk9jEY

Concerns around democracy and human rights are to be magnified with his re-election. Trump's prior administration showed a disregard for traditional democratic norms, often challenging the autonomy of the judiciary, the press, and other institutional checks that underpin democratic governance. This trend, if repeated, could signal increased vulnerability for American democratic institutions, especially as these rely on transparency, rule of law, and accountability for their strength. One significant human rights concern is the approach to immigration. Under Trump, policies such as family separations at the border and travel bans targeting certain countries drew international criticism for perceived human rights violations. A return to such policies could erode America’s image as a defender of human rights, raising concerns globally, especially among allies who value humanitarian principles in governance. Moreover, Trump's rhetoric on freedom of the press and support for authoritarian-leaning leaders raises additional concerns for global democracy. By supporting leaders with similar governance styles and downplaying the importance of democratic checks and balances, a Trump-led U.S. will foster an environment where autocratic actions face reduced opposition, emboldening other countries to follow suit. Ultimately, democracy and human rights risks under this new Trump administration to have ripple effects, potentially weakening both at home and abroad.

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Joe Biden’s withdrawal reshapes the 2024 election. Discover Kamala Harris’s upcoming role, political reactions, and the future of Biden’s campaign funds. Former President Barack Obama praised Biden's decision, highlighting his dedication and patriotism. With Biden stepping aside, Harris is now positioned to lead the Democratic charge against former President Donald Trump. #JoeBiden #KamalaHarris #2024Election #USPolitics #DemocraticNominee #ElectionNews #PoliticalUpdate #BarackObama #HarrisForPresident #PoliticalShift #Election2024 #BidenWithdraws #PoliticalAnalysis https://lnkd.in/dPVq3Sgt

People of the United States and the entire world watched the debate between the former president and the flagbearer of the Republican Party, Donald Trump, and the Vice President and the candidate of the Democratic Party, Kamala Harris. Interestingly, the 90-minute debate involved heated arguments and personal attacks on claims from both candidates. Nonetheless, the debate influenced the decisions of some voters, and the odds for the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election have since shifted after the debate. Below are points from the debate and odds. https://lnkd.in/dGn4EzZA

PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP AND PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN MET AT THE WHITE HOUSE: The Political rivals of #PresidentElect Mr. #DonaldTrump and #PresidentJoeBiden met at the #WhiteHouse #OvalOffice as part of the transition process, a formality that #DoladTrump didn't extend to #JoeBiden in 2020. #PresidentElect #DonaldTrump returned to the White House on Wednesday morning, where he met #PresidentJoeBiden in the Oval Office. The present president and the President-Elect are said to have discussed the transition from one administration to the other after Trump defeated #VicePresidentKamalaHarris in the #UnitedStatesofAmerica election. It is noted that President-elect #DonaldTrump and President #JoeBidenn have criticized each other for years, and hold different policy positions. In the #USPresidentialElections2024, #JoeBidenBiden, the #Democrat, defeated #DonaldTrump in the 2020 election, but in the 2024 Presidential race, #VicePresidentKamalaHarris, the Democrat, was defeated by the #Republican #DonaldTrump.

President Joe Biden’s recent debate with Donald Trump has stirred controversy, revealing critical missteps by his senior advisers. Critics are calling for "soul-searching" and potential staff changes after Biden's performance failed to counter Trump’s falsehoods and left many questioning his reelection bid. As Biden’s campaign team faces scrutiny for their decisions, including debate prep strategies and public appearance management, the focus shifts to how these challenges will impact the upcoming election. #BidenDebate #JoeBiden #DonaldTrump #CheckItNow #Election2024 #PoliticalNews #DebateAnalysis #CampaignStrategy #DemocraticParty #USPolitics

Harris Momentum has Stalled but not Reversed —— Can Kamala Harris maintain her slim lead over Donald Trump as the election race tightens? With national polls showing Harris leading by 1 to 3 points, the contest is razor-thin, especially in battleground states like Wisconsin and Arizona, where every single vote could make the difference in tipping the scales. While Trump edges ahead in Arizona, Harris holds a slight advantage in Wisconsin. Both campaigns are fighting for every vote as the stakes in the upcoming debate remain enormous, with momentum hanging in the balance. This close race is shaping up to be a pivotal moment for both candidates. —— Visit the link in our bio. ImagesCredits: - Alex Wong, ANDREW CABALLERO, Bloomberg, MANDEL NGAN #HarrisVsTrump #Election2024 #PresidentialDebate #KamalaHarris2024 #Trump2024 #TightRace #BattlegroundStates #WisconsinVotes #ArizonaVotes #ElectionPolls #PoliticalShowdown #ElectionCountdown

The stage is set for a potential clash of titans as President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump engage in a public exchange of debate challenges ahead of the 2024 presidential election. With both candidates expressing readiness to engage in verbal combat, the political arena braces itself for what could be a pivotal moment in shaping the electoral landscape. This report delves into the recent developments surrounding the debate discourse between Trump and Biden, highlighting their respective positions and the implications for the upcoming election season. Read More: https://lnkd.in/ghK3HxsH #BidenVsTrumpDebate #2024Election #PoliticalShowdown #DebateChallenge #ElectionSeason #PresidentialDebate #TrumpVsBiden #PoliticalArena #ElectoralLandscape #PivotalMoment #PublicExchange #CampaignTrail #PoliticalRivalry #FutureOfAmerica #VerbalCombat

President Joe Biden's candidacy faces scrutiny as his campaign events are paused due to Covid-19 🦠. Top Democrats have privately expressed concerns about his chances against Donald Trump 🤔. . . . #JoeBiden #Election2024 #CampaignPause #Covid19Impact #PoliticalConcerns #DemocraticParty #ChuckSchumer #HakeemJeffries #NancyPelosi #TrumpVsBiden #ElectionUncertainty #PoliticalDebate #CampaignChallenges #Biden2024 #DemocraticLeadership #PoliticalScrutiny #ElectionNews #PresidentialRace #PoliticalUpdate #ElectionConcerns #ElectionDrama #USPolitics #CampaignTrail #PoliticalStrategy #ElectionBattle #WhiteHouseRace #BidenVsTrump