FleetTrends’ Post

A positive start to the year in the UK automotive sector, with a 10.4% increase in new car registrations compared to last year. Despite this, there are still significant challenges and uncertainties, including the impact of the Zero-Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate and future market conditions post-general election. Cox Automotive has raised its 2024 car registration forecast to over two million, potentially reaching 2.2 million, depending on a stronger second half of the year. This adjustment is based on Q1 performance and signs of economic stabilisation, coupled with the need for manufacturers to expand market share while adhering to ZEV obligations. Philip Nothard, Insight Director at Cox Automotive Europe notes that although the increase is promising, it still falls 17.9% short of the pre-pandemic average and 22.2% behind 2019's figures. The growth in private registrations, which are down 8% year-on-year, presents additional challenges due to their higher profitability. The introduction of the ZEV mandate, requiring an increasing share of ZEV sales leading up to the 2035 ICE ban, has significant implications. However, manufacturers can mitigate penalties through mechanisms like borrowing ZEV allowances until 2026, albeit with a 3.5% interest fee. Q1 saw EV registrations make up 15.5% of the market, a slight increase from last year. Despite the shift toward electric vehicles, consumer hesitancy remains, influenced by concerns over affordability and infrastructure. The sector faces further complications from the recent government budget, which lacked supportive measures like addressing VAT disparities on charging. There's also concern that manufacturers may redirect new vehicles to less restrictive markets due to the stringent ZEV mandate. The sector's growth is currently driven by fleet investments, while the looming election could influence the pace and nature of recovery. Cox Automotive's publication, IQ, combines their Insight Report and AutoFocus periodical, offering forecasts and expert analyses to support decision-making in the OEM, fleet, and dealer sectors. Click here to read: https://lnkd.in/eGBWt44s For more insights follow us #fleettrends #fleetmanagers #autofocus #fleet1000

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