⚓️ Shipbuilding Crisis 🤝 Meet Unmanned Ships
At a moment of need, US Shipbuilding is a cluster💥f... BUT new tech can help bend the curve.
🏁 🚩This post will get granular on how unmanned ship designs are part of the solution.
First, far better minds (e.g. Ian & Brent) are working on the big picture of changing supply & demand incentives in the US market for ships. I'm only building one ship that can light the way and help on the supply side.
Second, the problem statement, framed by Tuesday's US Senate hearing:
"Although the Navy has seen a near doubling of its shipbuilding budget over the past 2 decades... consistent failure to increase its ship count" (Shelby Oakley GAO) This statement applies outside Navy - more money chasing diminishing output.
5️⃣ Reasons Unmanned Shipbuilding answers the call:
🔨 Manufacturing Labor: Less complex designs mean less wiring, plumbing, and welding inside a ship. This specialized labor = the #1 cost driver in shipbuilding!
Example ➡️ A ship without humans doesn't need hatches (doors). Creating a hatch in a sheet of steel takes several hours of welding to cut the hole, fit in the new hatch, weld and bolt in supports and then add rubber fittings, to make sure the hatch is watertight. It takes more labor.
The sheet of steel without the hatch is stronger, lighter, and cheaper than with the hatch.
⛓️💥 Specialized Components: The #2 driver of cost and the #1 driver of schedule slippage! Big ships only have one or two suppliers for their engines, propellers, drive shafts, etc - GLOBALLY!! There is almost no competition in this space. Unmanned ships - let's assume they're 100-200 feet - have much broader supply chains.
Example ➡️ Where big ships rely on bespoke parts with 18-36 month lead times, small ships can use power, electronic, and battery components from the much larger electric vehicle & truck industry.
⚙️ Commoditized Components & Material: Unmanned ships are simply smaller. They don't need as much steel, as many electronics, as many sensors.
Example ➡️ Check out my USNI Proceedings piece on ship tonnage driving cost
🌏 US vs Foreign Supply Chain: Asian and European companies are much better at big ship speciality hardware.
Example ➡️ Hyundai (South Korean), ABB (Swiss), and Wartsilla (Finland) are some of the best at supplying drive train components for big ships. Cummins, Caterpillar, and Thrustmaster (Indiana and Texas) have what you need for a smaller ship. Ships without crew are... smaller.
💪 Crew and Operations Labor: Once you build the ship, it's much more expensive to operate a crewed vessel.
Example ➡️ Go read John Ʌ Konrad V's X feed. I'll RT a few of his best.
At the end of the day, we need some simpler ship designs that American yards with slack can build. Unmanned ships offer the simplest ocean-going form factor, and can be built with commercial supply chains.
The software is much harder... but America is good at software. Let's be good at #shipbuilding too 🇺🇸 🇺🇸