Oxford Economics

Which type of sustainable investor are you? ⚪ Grey investors (15%) tend to have a neutral or even hostile attitude toward sustainable investing, often connected to concerns over profitability. 🌱 Light green investors (58%) prioritise returns but are also interested in sustainability. They may have the potential to be drawn toward sustainable investing, but their primary motivation remains financial while preferring simple communication through reliable metrics rather than details. 🌲 Dark green investors (27%) are highly focused on sustainability. They are primarily concerned with the impact of their investments and are willing to take on more risk to achieve this goal. Their focus is less on financial return and more on contributing to positive environmental or social change. Listen to our Greenomics podcast to learn more about retail investors’ sustainability preferences and implications: https://okt.to/vj4DwX

In this scenario modelling an increasingly protectionist world, globalisation unwinds as governments champion economic nationalism and promote self-reliance through increased trade restrictions. As a result, global trade intensity falls, reversing the gains made in the 2010s. 📌 https://okt.to/h3GjLA #MegatrendsScenarios

Join our team of experts on 17 April for a discussion on our macroeconomic outlook following "Liberation Day." We will explore the implications of President Donald Trump's recent tariff announcements and how they have influenced our perspective on the global economy. Our latest research highlights the considerable economic impact stemming from tariff uncertainty, which may be further exacerbated by shifts in consumer sentiment and effects on financial markets. Register now: https://okt.to/G7bCfE

No Liberation from Uncertainty in our IFRS 9 and CECL scenarios Following President Trump’s announcement, there was a sharp deterioration in sentiment, with our latest global risk survey highlighting that businesses have shifted their main concern from broader geopolitical tensions to trade-related uncertainty. This uncertainty is likely to persist, as governments enter negotiations on individual reciprocal tariffs. Questions also remain around how the US might respond to retaliation and whether talks may drag on over contentious issues such as non-tariff barriers. 📊 Dive into our analysis: https://okt.to/cCyNRb

Trump’s Tariffs Set to Dent UK Growth? The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast. Our new baseline will likely put GDP growth at just below our current forecast of 1% for this year and close to 1% for 2026, from the previous 1.5%. Although the higher tariffs will hit UK exports to the US, the main impact on UK growth prospects will come via weaker US and global demand and elevated trade policy uncertainty. Read the full report here: https://okt.to/29rH0g

Join us on 16 April as our experts discuss updating 2025 plans after tariffs, a refreshed global outlook for corporates Following the US announcement of broad-based tariffs, many corporates need to reassess their growth assumptions for the year, their costs, and impacts across customer and supply chains. In this webinar, we'll share our fully updated outlooks across major regions, covering growth and demand dynamics, costs and inflation, as well as other economic factors B2B and B2C companies may need to integrate into plan reviews. Register now: https://okt.to/EVaFmy

How much is innovation really costing your business? Landmark research from FIS in partnership with Oxford Economics, reveals that businesses are losing $100 million a year to cyberthreats, fraud, regulatory complexity, and operational inefficiencies. As the pace of innovation accelerates, many businesses are experiencing inefficiencies and disruptions due to underlying tension in the money lifecycle - whether money is at rest, moving, or at work. This growing “Harmony Gap” is stifling innovation across multiple industries and geographies. Key findings include: • Cyberthreats and fraud are the two most costly sources of tension • 37% of respondents experience daily cyberthreats • Fintech partnerships can help unlock growth • 83% of respondents increased sales after implementing embedded finance solutions. Does your organisation have a Harmony Gap? https://lnkd.in/exw5fa2m #HarmonyGap #FIS #OxfordEconomics #InnovationStrategy Debra D'Agostino

In our latest Global Risk Survey, over one-third of businesses identified geopolitical tensions and protectionism as the biggest long-term economic risks. Our new Megatrends Scenarios service models this risk in the Fractured World scenario. 📌 https://okt.to/Y3TDVr #MegatrendsScenarios

Are GCC economies shielded from the latest US tariffs? Find out here: https://okt.to/69O372 The US’s new 10% import tariff is unlikely to cause major disruption in the GCC, which sends just 3% of its exports to the US, mostly exempt energy shipments. But with Brent crude falling to $63 per barrel, its lowest since April 2021, and broader trade tensions mounting, secondary effects like weaker oil prices and inflation spillovers could still weigh on the region’s near-term outlook. 📽️This is MENA in a Minute with Amy McAlister #GCC #OilPrices #USPolitics #MENA

Will new US tariffs trigger lasting damage to the global economy? https://okt.to/KldcJv With trade tensions rising, how will global growth hold up? Our chief economist Innes McFee assesses the return to deep protectionism and its ripple effects across regions, industries, and forecasts. From Asia-Pacific to the Eurozone, no economy is untouched. #GlobalTrade #Tariffs #OxfordEconomics